Karnataka election 2023 prediction

The elections in Karnataka scheduled for next week are the most interesting, intense, and politically significant provincial polls since those of Uttar Pradesh in 2017. All parties in the fray have a great deal to gain, or lose, since the outcome will have an impact on both the general elections of next year, and beyond. It is a make-or-break contest for the Congress. If they can secure the mandate, or at the very least form a coalition government if it is a hung house, then the party will be in a good position to further its case as the magnet around which a united opposition might coalesce. If they can’t, then the structural weakness of its central and provincial leadership will be shown up as wanting. For the Janata Dal (Secular), the JD(S), this election is a last chance to retain some relevance in Kannada politics, for a little while longer, before it is swept into oblivion by the winds of change. For the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), a thumping victory would be the perfect set-up for the next round of assembly elections late in the year, and for the general elections. But if it is unable to cross the halfway mark, or increase its vote share substantially, then questions will be asked about its state leadership, its grassroots workings, and it will provide a fillip to the opposition, both in Karnataka, and at the national level. With that in mind, Swarajya has prepared a base forecast for the Karnataka elections using a proprietary in-house predictor model. Methodolog...

Karnataka Election Results 2023: the Congress party has secured the biggest mandate in Karnataka since 1989, clinching a staggering 135 seats out of the total 224 assembly seats. Karnataka Exit Poll 2023 (Average of Polls): BJP: 92, INC: 107 seats, JD(s): 23 seats Karnataka Election Opinion Polls (Average of Polls): BJP: 105 seats, INC: 91 seats, JD(s): 26 seats Karnataka Election Results 2023: Result Recap • The Congress party’s strong performance in the Karnataka Assembly elections, securing 135 seats, indicates a clear win and a significant mandate from the electorate. • The BJP’s reduced tally of 65 seats suggests a setback for the party, which had hoped for a better outcome in the elections. • D K Shivakumar, the state president of the Congress party, achieved a resounding victory in Kanakapura, receiving over 70 percent of the votes. This win boosts his chances of contending for the chief ministerial position. • The chief ministerial race is expected to be between D K Shivakumar and former CM Siddaramaiah, the Congress legislature party leader. Siddaramaiah appears to be in a favorable position based on early indications of the numbers game. • The Congress party’s strong performance can be attributed to its focused campaign on development and welfare programs, resonating with the voters in Karnataka. • The outcome of the elections signifies a clear mandate for the Congress party, highlighting the people’s endorsement of its policies and leadership. • The reduced seat...

With the 224 assembly constituencies going to the polls today, all eyes will be on the Siddaramaiah and DK Shivakumar at Sri Chamundeshwari Temple in Mysuru.(ANI) Here's what the opinion polls have predicted so far ABP News-C Voter: Congress has been predicted to win 110 to 122 seats; BJP 73 to 85 and JD(S) 21 to 29. India TV-CNX opinion poll: 105 seats likely for the Congress while the BJP could see 85 seats. JD(S) may win 32 seats. India Today-CVoter: BJP could win 74-86 seats with the Congress predicted to win 107-119 seats. Eedina opinion poll: Majority for the Congress with 132 to 140 seats while the BJP is predicted to win 57-65 seats. Zee News-Matrize Opinion Poll: BJP could win 103 tp 115 seats, while the Congress is predicted to win 79 to 91 seats. JD(S) could win 26-36 seats. NDTV survey: According to the NDTV-Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies survey, Congress is likely to be ahead of the BJP and Siddaramaiah is the most popular choice for the chief minister post.

Ahead of the Karnataka Assembly elections 2023, a survey conducted in the poll bound state showed Congress leader Siddaramaiah is the most preferred Chief Minister in the state. The survey, conducted by NDTV and Lokniti-CSDS showed that Siddaramaiah is the top pick for the next Karnataka Chief Minister, followed by the incumbent Basavaraj Bommai of the BJP. The survey found that Siddaramaiah was slightly more popular among older voters, while young voters preferred Bommai as CM. Janata Dal Secular (JDS) leader HD Kumaraswamy and Congress's DK Shivakumar were the third and fourth most popular chief minister candidates, respectively. Surprisingly, the BJP's BS Yediyurappa, who has never completed a term despite being a four-time chief minister, ranked fifth. The survey also revealed that party and candidate were more important to voters than the individual running for chief minister. A majority of respondents (56 per cent) considered the party to be the most important factor, while 38 per cent considered the candidate. Only 4 per cent said they voted based on the chief minister candidate.

NEW DELHI: Millions of voters in Most exit polls are predicting a hung assembly in Karnataka, which means that JD(S) may well emerge as the kingmaker in the state for the second time in the row. In 2018, JD(S) helped Congress form the government with HD Kumaraswamy becoming the chief minister. The state is mainly witnessing a three-cornered contest between the ruling BJP, the Congress and former prime minister H D Deve Gowda's Janata Dal (Secular). The ruling BJP aims to create history, while the Congress, in a combative stance, seeks a comeback before the 2024 05:35 Karnataka exit poll of polls results: Pollsters predict hung assembly, give Congress edge Here are the predictions for the crucial Karnataka elections 2023: -Poll of 10 exit polls give 109 seats to Congress, which is short of the majority mark of 113. This indicates the state is likely headed for hung assembly. -Today's Chanakaya predictions BJP: 92 ± 11 | Congress: 120 ± 11 | JD(S): 12 ± 7 | Others: 0 ± 3 -Axis My India has predicted a comfortable win for Congress with a minimum of 122 seats. It has forecast a signficant erosion of seats for BJP. Among all the exit polls, Axis My India has so far predicted the highest no. of seats for Congress. -India TV-CNX has also predicted majority for Congress BJP: 85 | Congress: 115 | JD(S): 22 | Others: 2 | Total seats: 224 -According to Times Now-ETG Research, the voters seem to be giving the BJP a huge lead over other contenders. With 16 of the 26 seats in the BJP's ...

By Express News Service BENGALURU: Former chief minister HD Kumaraswamy claimed that an internal survey of the BJP has predicted that his party is likely to bag 55 seats in the 2023 assembly polls. However, he said that, considering the overwhelming response to the Pancharatna Yatra, the party is set to win 123 seats. On Sunday, around 50 leaders of the Congress and BJP from the Chamarajpet assembly constituency joined JDS. Chamarajpet block Congress president Govindaraju, former deputy mayor Ramegowda, former corporator Gowramma, among others joined the party. Kumaraswamy observed that the national parties have been resorting to various strategies every two months after the internal survey. “In fact, a popularity poll shows that JDS’ trajectory is upwards,” he claimed. JDS has been going from strength to strength due to the Pancharatna campaign led by Kumaraswamy, said former Prime Minister HD Deve Gowda. “Amid various developments in the state and nationally, we, the JDS, should focus on our goal,” he suggested. “The JDS will certainly win the Chamarajpet seat,” Kumaraswamy asserted. Chamarajpet is one of the key constituencies in Bengaluru represented by CLP leader Siddaramaiah’s admirer and former minister Zameer Ahmed Khan, who often challenges the Gowda family. BENGALURU: Former chief minister HD Kumaraswamy claimed that an internal survey of the BJP has predicted that his party is likely to bag 55 seats in the 2023 assembly polls. However, he said that, considering ...

Channels (2023 Results) BJP (66) Congress (135) JDS (19) Others (4) Eedina (April 28) 57-65 (33%) 132-140 (43%) 19-25 (16%) Public TV’s Mood of Karnataka 85-95 98-108 28-33 0 TV9-CVoter 79-89 106-116 24-34 0 ABP NEWS-CVoter (March 29 - April 30) 68-70 115-127 23-35 0 India Today-CVoter 74-86 107-119 23-35 India TV-CNX (May 7) 85 (35.5%) 105 (40.32%) 32 (17.81%) 2 Small Box India 65-70 118-129 28-32 1-3 Vistara News 89-93 84-90 23-26 0 Zee News-Matrize 96-106 88-98 23-33 2-7 South First-People’s Pulse 92-100 95-105 25-30 0 Asianet Suvarna-Jan Ki Baat (March 15- April 14) 98-109 89-97 25-29 0 Asianet Suvarna-Jan Ki Baat (April 15- May 1) 100-114 (38-40.5%) 86-98 (38.5-41.5%) 20-26 (14-16.5%) 0-5 4-7% South First (May 1 - 5) 81-93 (36%) 105-117 (41.4%) 24-29 (16%) (6.6%) Zee News-Matrize 103-115 79-91 26-36 1-3 • • • • • • Filed Under: Tagged With:

Karnataka Election 2023: The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to lose the assembly election in Karnataka, India Today-CVoter predicted on Monday. As per the opinion poll, the BJP is expected to get just 74-86 seats, down 24 from what the party had got in 2018. The saffron party is expected to get a 35 per cent vote share, down from 36.35 per cent in 2018. The Congress, on the other hand, is likely to get 107-119 seats with a 40 per cent vote share. The grand old party is expected to gain 33 seats this time. Congress leader Siddaramaiah is the most favoured leader (42 per cent) for the chief minister's post followed by BJP's Basavraj Bommai (31 per cent), according to the polls. The Janata Dal (Secular) is expected to bag 23-35 seats with a 17 per cent vote share. Others are expected to win 0-5 seats. The poll has predicted a 5 per cent vote share gain for the Congress in central Karnataka, for BJP a 7 per cent loss and JDS is likely to stay roughly where it is. The Central Karnataka region has 35 seats. Of these, Congress is likely to win 21, ten seats more than what it had won in the previous election. BJP, which had won 24 last time, is projected to bag just 14.  In coastal Karnataka, considered the stronghold of Congress, the JDS is likely to make gains from 6 per cent vote share in the last election to 10 per cent this time. But it won't translate in any seat for the JDS. The BJP is expected to get 17 seats with 48 per cent votes, down from 51 per cent...

Karnataka Elections 2023: On May 10, all eyes will be on the Karnataka assembly elections. Thisday will decide the fate of the south Indian state for the next few years. The question is whether the ruling Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) will win again or the opposition party Indian National Congress (INC) will form its government after 1999. As cited by Hindustan Times, the ABP-CVoter opinion poll predicted that the Congress is likely to form the government in Karnataka, while BJP could face a big loss, and Janata Dal might perform below par. The opinion poll stated that out of 224 assembly seats in Karnataka, the Congress might win some 107 to 119 seats, while BJP is likely to bag some 74 to 86 seats and JD(S) can secure between 23 and 35 seats.

Ahead of the Karnataka Chief Minister Basavaraj Bommai and Congress leader Siddaramaiah. The ABP-CVoter opinion poll predicted that the Congress is likely to form the government in Karnataka, while the BJP could lose big and the Janata Dal's (Secular) performance could be quite below the mark. Key takeaways from recent opinion polls on Karnataka assembly election 2023 1. According to the ABP News-CVoter opinion poll, out of 224 assembly seats in Karnataka, the Congress may win between 107 and 119 seats. The BJP is likely to bag 74 to 86 seats, while the JD(S) can secure 23 to 35 seats. Also Read | 2. The poll suggests the ruling BJP could be five per cent behind the Congress in terms of vote share. The Congress could end up securing a 40 per cent vote share, while the BJP 35 per cent. The JD(S) may get 17 per cent of the votes. Seats share (total seats – 224) BJP: 74 to 86 seats Congress:107 to 119 seats JD(S): 23 to 35 seats Others: 0 to 5 seats Vote share BJP - 35% Congress - 40% JD(S) - 17% Others – 8% 3. Another opinion by India Today-CVoter predicted that the ruling BJP is likely to lose the assembly election in Karnataka. According to the opinion poll, the BJP is expected to get just 74-86 seats, down 24 from what the party had got in 2018. Seats share Congress: 107-119 BJP: 74-86 JD(S): 23-35 Vote share Congress: 40% BJP: 35% JD(S): 17% 4. According to the opinion poll, Congress leader Siddaramaiah is the most favoured leader with 42 per cent for the chief minister'...